Durban City vs Orlando Pirates analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
51.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
BLA
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
BID
33%
29%
38%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SWA
1 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
SUN
3 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Orlando Pirates
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
PIR
1 - 0
ENY
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ASE
4 - 0
PIR
55%
23%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
HEA
0 - 1
PIR
41%
25%
34%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
SSU
1 - 1
PIR
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
PIR
0 - 0
HEA
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |