Durban City vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
SSU
0 - 0
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
GOL
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
SSU
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BLO
1 - 1
MAR
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
MAR
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SWA
1 - 3
CHI
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
SWA
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
SWA
1 - 1
BID
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
BLA
0 - 1
SWA
30%
26%
44%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
SWA
1 - 0
FRE
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |