Durban City vs Swallows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
MAR
46%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
BID
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 2
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
FRE
40%
29%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SUN
1 - 2
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Swallows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FRE
0 - 1
SWA
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 0
SUN
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 1
SWA
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 1
SSU
44%
24%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 3
PRE
72%
19%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |