Durban City vs Marumo Gallants FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
SUF
50%
23%
28%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GOL
2 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
PIR
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 3
TSG
64%
24%
13%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
AMA
0 - 0
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Marumo Gallants FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
MIL
1 - 0
SSU
14%
21%
65%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
BLO
1 - 0
MIL
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
MIL
0 - 2
SSU
17%
26%
57%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
CHI
3 - 0
MIL
67%
22%
11%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
GOL
1 - 0
MIL
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |