Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
46%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
5º
16º
15º
70
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 1
MAR
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RIB
0 - 0
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
SFC
3 - 0
MAR
49%
28%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
SSU
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
PIR
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUN
0 - 3
PIR
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 0
MIL
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PIR
0 - 0
SUN
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 0
AMA
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 1
GOL
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |