Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2014 |
BID
0 - 1
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 2
PIR
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 0
AJA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
PIR
1 - 0
MAR
57%
26%
18%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
WAR
1 - 3
MAR
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2014 |
SUN
3 - 0
SSU
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 1
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 0
MPU
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 2
PIR
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 0
BLO
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |