Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
44.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
MPU
1 - 2
MAR
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
BID
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
FRE
4 - 1
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
PLS
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 3
SWA
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2011 |
AMA
1 - 1
SUN
31%
30%
40%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SUN
2 - 0
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
SUN
4 - 4
AJA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
SUN
1 - 0
VAS
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
PIR
1 - 0
SUN
46%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |