Durban City vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
BLO
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 3
SSU
25%
28%
47%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
AJA
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
PIR
2 - 1
MAR
67%
22%
11%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 2
SUN
34%
30%
36%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 0
BLO
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SUN
0 - 1
CHI
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 0
SUN
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
SUN
3 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |