Durban City vs Kruger United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+804%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LLF
0 - 2
MAR
7%
15%
78%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
CST
1 - 0
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
4 - 2
HLF
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 2
MAR
24%
27%
50%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
LER
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 10 | 56 | 0 |
Matches
Kruger United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
SFC
2 - 1
KRU
79%
14%
7%
|
19 | 72 | 53 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PCF
3 - 1
KRU
68%
20%
13%
|
19 | 57 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
KRU
1 - 0
HIG
59%
20%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
CST
2 - 2
KRU
77%
14%
8%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
UCF
1 - 3
KRU
73%
16%
12%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +2 |