Durban City vs Jomo Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SWA
2 - 0
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 5
SUN
43%
28%
30%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GOL
1 - 1
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
MAR
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 4
BLO
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jomo Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
AMA
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
BID
3 - 1
COS
66%
22%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
COS
1 - 2
CHI
25%
29%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
COS
1 - 3
SSU
23%
30%
48%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
COS
55%
27%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |