Durban City vs Highbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+616%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VFA
0 - 0
MAR
34%
30%
36%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
KRU
1 - 2
MAR
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
CST
48%
27%
26%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
JDR
1 - 2
MAR
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
PCR
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Highbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HIG
0 - 1
ORC
11%
16%
74%
|
8 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
CST
1 - 0
HIG
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 61 | 52 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
HIG
1 - 1
BLA
14%
21%
66%
|
8 | 54 | 46 | +1 |