Durban City vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
FRE
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
GOL
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAR
36%
30%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
SUN
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
SUN
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
GOL
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
3 - 2
PLS
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
3 - 1
CHI
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SUN
1 - 0
GOL
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GOL
1 - 1
FRE
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |