Durban City vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
POL
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 0
MAR
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
SSU
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PIR
2 - 1
GOL
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 0
CHI
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 1
SSU
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BLO
1 - 2
GOL
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
FRE
0 - 1
GOL
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |