Durban City vs Golden Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
COS
0 - 0
MAR
35%
30%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
SWA
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
AJA
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
BLO
0 - 2
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Golden Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
GOL
1 - 2
AMA
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
BID
2 - 1
GOL
39%
29%
32%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
1 - 0
SSU
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
GOL
45%
30%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
0 - 1
FRE
55%
26%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |