Durban City vs Engen Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
SSU
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
0 - 1
MAR
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
PLS
1 - 1
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 1
BLA
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GOL
4 - 1
MAR
51%
25%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Engen Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
PLS
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
SAN
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ROS
0 - 1
SAN
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
GOL
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BLO
2 - 0
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |