Durban City vs Engen Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SSU
1 - 0
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SWA
1 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
BLO
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
AMA
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CHI
3 - 1
MAR
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Engen Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 2
CHI
37%
29%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
BID
3 - 1
SAN
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 4
AJA
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SUN
3 - 1
SAN
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 3
FRE
53%
28%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |