Durban City vs Black Leopards analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
2º
11º
4º
34
6º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
MIL
3 - 3
MAR
40%
30%
30%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
BLA
71%
18%
10%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
UCF
2 - 0
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
PCF
65%
22%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
NBM
0 - 0
MAR
33%
30%
38%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Black Leopards
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 1
HLF
30%
29%
41%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
BLA
71%
18%
10%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
NBM
2 - 0
BLA
47%
26%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
3 - 2
MIL
14%
25%
61%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 1
VFA
32%
27%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |