Durban City vs AmaZulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
BID
1 - 1
MAR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
SSU
32%
28%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
THA
0 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
FRE
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
SWA
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
AmaZulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 0
AMA
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
PLS
0 - 1
AMA
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 2
GOL
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
AMA
2 - 2
BID
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
SSU
2 - 2
AMA
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |