Durban City vs Cape Town Spurs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durban City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
PIR
2 - 1
MAR
67%
22%
11%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SWA
2 - 1
MAR
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 2
THA
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
SUN
3 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
FRE
1 - 1
MAR
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cape Town Spurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
THA
0 - 1
AJA
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
SAN
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
AJA
1 - 0
SUN
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
PLS
1 - 1
AJA
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
PIR
1 - 2
AJA
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |