Marítimo vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
25.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2012 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
MAR
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 3
MAR
7%
15%
79%
|
78 | 25 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
GIR
1 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
BMA
2 - 2
VIT
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
VST
2 - 2
VIT
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 3
NAC
41%
26%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |