Marítimo vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PEN
3 - 2
MAR
28%
30%
43%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
3 - 0
UDL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SCP
1 - 1
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
GFC
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
ADP
0 - 2
MAR
10%
20%
70%
|
74 | 20 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
SPC
1 - 2
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | 0 |