Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-7
Marítimo vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
52.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
SLB
2 - 1
MAR
88%
8%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
MAR
0 - 3
SLB
25%
19%
55%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
SLB
9 - 3
MAR
88%
8%
5%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
FCB
2 - 0
MAR
45%
21%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
MAR
0 - 5
FCB
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
FCB
1 - 2
SCP
18%
19%
63%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
SCP
6 - 0
SAL
95%
4%
2%
|
88 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
SPB
0 - 2
SCP
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
SCP
2 - 0
ORI
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
SPC
0 - 6
SCP
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |