Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 6-4
Marítimo vs Sporting Fingal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 2
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 0
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 0
MAR
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 2
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 3
BEL
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Fingal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2010 |
BRW
0 - 3
SFI
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
SFI
1 - 1
SLR
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2010 |
BOH
1 - 1
SFI
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2010 |
SFI
1 - 2
UCD
59%
24%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2010 |
DUN
1 - 2
SFI
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |