Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 2-0
Marítimo vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
FCP
2 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
SCP
1 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIT
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
FAR
1 - 2
MAR
42%
27%
32%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
SPB
2 - 1
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
HKG
0 - 0
SAR
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
DZZ
0 - 2
SAR
15%
22%
63%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2001 |
SAR
0 - 2
OSA
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2001 |
TRA
1 - 0
SAR
31%
26%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
SAR
8 - 0
KRA
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |