Marítimo vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1991 |
VIT
1 - 0
MAR
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1991 |
MAR
1 - 0
GFC
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
BMA
1 - 0
MAR
50%
29%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
MAR
3 - 1
FAR
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1990 |
SLB
3 - 1
MAR
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1991 |
PEN
1 - 1
SLB
15%
27%
58%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1991 |
SCP
2 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1991 |
PEN
0 - 0
FCP
16%
28%
56%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1990 |
PEN
1 - 0
TIR
47%
30%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1990 |
CHA
2 - 2
PEN
61%
23%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |