Marítimo vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
PAÇ
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FCP
0 - 0
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SCP
3 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 6
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 3
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
RIO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
PAÇ
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PAÇ
4 - 1
VIZ
58%
23%
20%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |