Marítimo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
SPB
2 - 1
MAR
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
LEX
1 - 2
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 5
SLB
20%
24%
57%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 1
VIT
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIO
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
OLH
1 - 0
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
0 - 4
FCP
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
PAÇ
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |