Marítimo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SLB
4 - 3
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIT
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SPB
1 - 1
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
ACA
58%
25%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
BOA
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 3
VST
56%
23%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
GFC
3 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
FCP
0 - 4
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
SLB
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |