Marítimo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
22.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
BMA
0 - 0
MAR
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
MAR
2 - 3
VIT
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1989 |
VST
2 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1989 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
37%
31%
31%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIT
42%
30%
28%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
BMA
1 - 0
NAC
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 4
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 1
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1989 |
FCP
2 - 0
NAC
81%
13%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |