Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-0
Marítimo vs Dila Gori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
TRI
56%
25%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAÇ
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
OLH
0 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GOR
2 - 3
CHI
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 1
WIT
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ANO
0 - 3
GOR
66%
20%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +3 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
GOR
0 - 1
ANO
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
GOR
3 - 1
AGF
36%
25%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |