Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
65.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
FEI
1 - 1
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
VST
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 3
FEI
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCP
15%
22%
62%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
AEK
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
4 - 0
FEI
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2018 |
BYM
5 - 1
SLB
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |