Taça de Portugal 1/16
Global 2-1
Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
SAL
2 - 1
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
SLB
1 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
BOA
0 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
MAR
0 - 2
SCP
27%
26%
47%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
SLB
2 - 2
SCP
38%
25%
37%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
SLB
1 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
54%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SLB
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
SPB
0 - 1
SLB
32%
24%
43%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |