Marítimo vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
57.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1980 |
EST
0 - 0
MAR
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
POR
3 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
MAR
5 - 0
UDL
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
FCP
3 - 0
MAR
90%
7%
3%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
SPB
1 - 0
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1980 |
SLB
1 - 0
POR
89%
7%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
22%
28%
51%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
SLB
4 - 3
ESP
94%
5%
2%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
VAR
1 - 2
SLB
22%
27%
51%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |