Marítimo vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
37.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
9%
19%
72%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
69%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
MAR
4 - 0
FCB
48%
27%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ACV
1 - 2
MAR
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
0 - 1
BOA
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
BOA
1 - 1
BEL
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
1 - 0
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
BEL
7 - 1
SPB
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |