Marítimo vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
16.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
19.6%
2-0
19.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.9%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.27
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
BRU
2 - 0
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
ACA
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
EST
3 - 1
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
NEW
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 1
FEL
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LEC
1 - 1
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 0
VIL
58%
22%
21%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
REB
0 - 0
ADO
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 1
ADO
64%
19%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |