Marítimo vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
25.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
SPB
0 - 0
MAR
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
39%
29%
32%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
AVE
1 - 1
MAR
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 0
PEN
50%
29%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SAL
1 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
18%
30%
52%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
BOA
4 - 0
ACA
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
42%
26%
33%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 4
SCP
18%
27%
56%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |