Marítimo III vs Gafanha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
EST
39%
26%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
GOU
0 - 2
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAM
43%
25%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Gafanha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
SAO
56%
23%
22%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 0
ANA
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
GAF
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GAF
5 - 0
GOU
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAM
1 - 1
GAF
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |