Marítimo II vs Vila Real analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
6º
35
7º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
OSL
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TIR
1 - 0
MAR
29%
26%
45%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
MAR
11%
16%
74%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
POR
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
VIL
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VPE
2 - 2
VIL
64%
18%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 2
MIR
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DUM
2 - 1
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
OSA
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |