Marítimo II vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LEX
1 - 0
MAR
69%
21%
10%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MIR
3 - 2
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 1
MER
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
5 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOU
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
ATL
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
0 - 0
VIT
20%
25%
56%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
POR
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
LEX
1 - 1
PEN
49%
25%
27%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FEI
2 - 1
PEN
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |