Marítimo II vs Machico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
6º
13º
6º
1
6º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 49 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 48 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 48 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 45 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 40 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 39 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
3 | 38 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
12º
|
1 | 33 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 25 |
12º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
1 | 20 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 16 |
14º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 53% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
SAL
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 0
MAR
21%
21%
59%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ALP
1 - 0
MAR
23%
21%
56%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 0
MAR
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 73 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VPE
0 - 2
MAR
35%
25%
39%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
COI
1 - 0
MAC
34%
22%
44%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 0
MAC
43%
23%
35%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
MAC
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 1
NAC
3%
8%
89%
|
29 | 73 | 44 | 0 |