Marítimo II vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
13º
5º
20
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BMA
2 - 1
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
MAR
16%
18%
66%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
GUA
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 2
GON
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 0
GUA
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
9%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
GON
31%
29%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SAL
1 - 1
CAS
75%
18%
8%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
REB
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |