Marist Fire vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+118%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marist Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
TEA
3%
8%
89%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MAL
0 - 1
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
KOS
0 - 2
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
REA
1 - 4
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
SOL
1 - 2
MAR
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
MAG
2 - 0
SOA
79%
12%
8%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
MAG
4 - 1
BAC
57%
19%
25%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAG
2 - 1
BEL
58%
19%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AMD
4 - 1
MAG
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAG
1 - 2
HIE
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |