Marist vs Niagara Purple analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20%
22.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SST
0 - 0
MRF
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
MHK
0 - 1
MRF
62%
19%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MRF
3 - 0
MHC
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
MRF
4 - 2
RBS
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SPP
2 - 1
MRF
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Niagara Purple
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NPE
1 - 0
IOG
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
SPP
2 - 0
NPE
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
QPC
2 - 3
NPE
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
NPE
3 - 1
SST
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RBS
2 - 1
NPE
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |