Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Marino vs UD Sanse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
SSR
1 - 0
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
YAI
0 - 1
MAR
22%
27%
51%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
EST
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
TEL
1 - 1
MAR
19%
25%
55%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
SDT
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
UD Sanse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
SSR
1 - 0
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
SSR
13%
22%
65%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SSR
0 - 1
MAJ
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
ATM
3 - 3
SSR
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SSR
1 - 0
ALC
72%
18%
10%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |