Marino vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
COT
3 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
VSB
20%
22%
58%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LAN
0 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 0
ARU
57%
22%
20%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
LPA
1 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
UDS
3 - 0
VER
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CDB
0 - 0
UDS
43%
26%
31%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
UDS
3 - 2
TEL
53%
24%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SDT
1 - 0
UDS
56%
23%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
UDS
1 - 0
EST
50%
25%
25%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |