Marino vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VEC
4 - 1
MAR
25%
27%
48%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 0
UNV
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CDM
1 - 0
MAR
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 2
CAG
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CDT
0 - 1
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LAN
1 - 0
UDL
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
YAI
3 - 1
LAN
33%
27%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 0
EST
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
TEL
1 - 2
LAN
46%
25%
29%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LAN
0 - 0
SDT
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |