Marino vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
UDI
0 - 5
MAR
36%
30%
35%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
TEL
1 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
AMA
1 - 0
MAR
49%
28%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
MAR
4 - 0
RJA
63%
23%
15%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1990 |
ALB
5 - 2
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
POZ
1 - 1
REC
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
REC
1 - 1
EST
76%
17%
8%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
REC
3 - 1
RMC
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
ELC
2 - 0
REC
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
REC
1 - 2
SLA
55%
26%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |