Marino vs CD Mensajero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
LAG
0 - 1
MAR
34%
28%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
REA
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
TER
54%
23%
24%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
HUR
2 - 2
MAR
38%
28%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
COR
43%
27%
30%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Mensajero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
CDM
1 - 2
TER
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
HUR
4 - 2
CDM
31%
27%
42%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CDM
1 - 0
COR
51%
26%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
LAN
0 - 1
CDM
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CDM
1 - 1
VER
43%
24%
32%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |