Marino vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
CDT
2 - 0
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
VSB
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
UPR
49%
24%
27%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 2
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 0
GUI
85%
10%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
UDI
5 - 2
EST
79%
14%
8%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
COT
1 - 2
UDI
25%
25%
51%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
UDI
4 - 1
HCF
86%
9%
5%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
PAN
0 - 1
UDI
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |