Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 6-1
Marino vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.8%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
3 - 0
CDB
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
CDB
1 - 0
MAR
40%
29%
31%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
MAR
1 - 2
REC
33%
29%
38%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
UDI
0 - 5
MAR
36%
30%
35%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
TEL
1 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
UNI
2 - 1
UDI
55%
24%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
UDI
0 - 0
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
CDP
2 - 3
UDI
65%
20%
16%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1990 |
UDI
0 - 5
MAR
36%
30%
35%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
UDI
0 - 1
CDM
63%
21%
16%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |